I work in marketing, so I know how percentages are often used to obfuscate the true costs. Comparing dollars to dollars, the numbers don't look as good as what the politicians and NFL are selling. The Bills' stadium was built for the equivalent of $141 million in today's dollars. That means the Buffalo taxpayers are investing more than 6 times as much as they did to originally build the stadium.
In Jax's case, the Jags stadium was constructed for the equivalent of $225 million in today's dollars. In 2013, the city contributed the equivalent of $76 million in today's dollars for the scoreboards and pools. Then we had the renovation in 2016 for $106 million in today's dollars. That's about $407 million for roughly the Jaguars first decade of existence.
Looking at the next decade or so, we've got the $60 million public investment. Then let's say the Jags evenly split a $1 billion stadium project. That's maybe $560 million over the next decade and that's probably conservative. So let's say $56 million a year in public investment to keep the Jags to make it easier to comprehend.
Do we offset the $56 million price through taxes collected and direct economic impact to the community each year? Does the community benefit enough in other ways to justify the investment? Personally, I'm skeptical, but I'm open to hearing any figures that might change my mind.
As a fellow marketing/analytics guy who's somewhat close to the numbers through working with the city, I've got a slightly different take on it.
First, to clean up the timeline a little bit and go a little deeper into a few of the investments:
1992 - Before any serious talk of NFL expansion, the City of Jacksonville agreed to nearly $50 million in renovations to Jax Municipal Stadium to keep Georgia-Florida here through 2002.
1993 - In an effort to secure an NFL franchise, the city upped the stadium renovation to $121 million. So really, we can't really say that we spent $121 million to build a stadium for the Jags when we were already committed to a badly needed $50 million renovation already. True incremental number for the original stadium build from an NFL perspective is around $71 million.
That puts us at $71 million in stadium costs to get us through the first 10 years of the franchise's existence.
2004 - The city spends an additional $47 million to upgrade EverBank Field ahead of Super Bowl XXXIX. This is when the Bud Zone, escalators, and original video board were added. Yes, the Jags benefited from the stadium renovations, but the impetus for this spend was to make EverBank Field more attractive for events like Super Bowls and to keep Georgia and Florida happy. So I don't think it's fair to say that this investment was made to keep the Jags in Jacksonville either. Let's call it 50/50 and say $24 million went to the Jags.
So that's $95 million.
2013 - The city commits another $43 million to the scoreboard additions and endzone improvements.
2015 - The city tosses in another $45 million for Daily's Place, Flex Field, and club seat renovations. I won't deduct it, but do keep in mind that the city had been trying to build an amphitheater since the Delaney administration.
So, that's $183 million (non-adjusted for inflation and interest, which is admittedly significant) in "public" money toward keeping the NFL here over the last 26 seasons.
So that's roughly $7 million per year (plus debt service) that we've spent as a city on the stadium in support of the Jags up to this point.
Feels like a steal when you look at the broader NFL landscape and how much other cities are paying.
Especially when you consider how little of that has actually come out of the pockets of the actual Jacksonville's taxpayers.
All of the major improvements have been debt-financed off the back of our local bed tax, meaning that tourists bear a heavier burden for these stadium projects than locals do. 2% straight up goes toward paying off stadium debt, and another 2% was put toward maintenance of the sports complex after the Prime Osborne was paid off.
Additionally, we get $2 million from the state each year as a sale tax rebate for relief with stadium debt; $5 million+ a year from ticket surcharges and parking revenue; over $4 million a year from the Jags in rent; $1 million in concessions, etc.
Now, the stadium isn't entirely self-sustaining and the economics will never make compelling sense on a balance sheet, but - particularly since we upped the bed tax contribution to 4% - we're drawing very little from the general fund to pay for the stadium. More money has probably come out of the general fund to force Toney Sleiman out of the Landing than has come out to pay for the stadium over the last 8 or 9 years.
And, if we were to put $560 million into renovating the stadium, it won't be a $56 million annual public investment over 10 years, it will another long-term debt-financed project paid off primarily by revenue sources that can only be used for similar projects (the bed tax), and from revenue sources that wouldn't exist in the absence of the stadium (ticket surcharges, parking revenue, concessions, escalating rent payments from the Jags, etc.).
Will there still be a high taxpayer cost? Sure, but it's not going to cripple the city.
Realistically, the biggest short-term tradeoff is that a true convention center probably won't be coming any time soon.
Any maybe we'll have to wait on spending $1 billion+ to relocate the jail.
One other thing that's probably worth pointing out when talking about the stadium is that we're not just talking about renovations for the sake of keeping the Jags in Jacksonville for another 20-30 years (FWIW, I've heard the proposed lease extension is going to be closer to 20 years than 30 years). We're also talking about keeping Georgia-Florida long-term, competing for NCAA playoff games and major events, and keeping Jacksonville competitive and relevant in the event space over the coming decades. Less glamorous aspects of the stadium like the electrical and drainage systems are reaching end-of-life and will need to be renovated regardless of what happens with the Jags.
Jacksonville is growing, our bed taxes are only going to continue to increase, and I think it's a bit of a strawman argument when people argue that the full brunt of our stadium share is going to come at the expense of our schools, infrastructure, crime prevention, hospitals, etc.
Hate the NFL monopoly and how the league leaches off its host cities, and the Jags have ruined more Sundays for me than I can count over the last decade, but to me, financing a new stadium tied to a lease extension guaranteed to keep the NFL in Jacksonville through 2050+ is the biggest no brainer out there.