It is amazing how dollar $ign$ can cloud our judgement. It is obvious that the Port expansion can potentially have a major impact on our economy. However, we must also be willing to evaluate ALL of the tradeoffs and to analyze future economic trends and the net benefits to our community.
For one, the massive dredging of the river could potentially cause significant harm to the health of the river. We must wait until the Army Corps Environmental Impact Statement is complete to better evaluate this legitimate concern. Don't underestimate the significant economic benefits of a clean and healthy river. Also, don't forget that the lastest "rough estimate" of the dredging is $600 million and not much has even been mentioned about the ongoing maintenance expenses that would be required to maintain the necessary depth. Remember, that we don't have a naturally deep port, but are trying to create one. There are major potential consequences that must be carefully considered.
Cargo ships burn a very dirty fuel that creates a lot of pollution. The Guardian recently reported on a study that suggests that "just 15 of the world's biggest ships may now emit as much pollution as all the world's 760 million cars" and particulate matter from ship engines causes the premature death of about 60,000 people a year and $330 billion in related healthcare costs.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/apr/09/shipping-pollution Add in the diesel exhaust from the thousands of trucks that will be coming and going each day, and it adds up to a significant increase in air pollution.
Fuel prices are also almost certain to increase in time as we reach peak oil, and foreign labor wages in some Asian countries like China are significantly increasing. As a result, the advantage of producing products cheaply overseas may be eroding, making domestic production more attractive over time. For example, IKEA recently decided to build a production facility in VA to supply the American market because of rising shipping costs. The Asian pipeline of cheap products may be drying up and domestic manufacturing could experience a resurgence in the coming years.
Finally, many of the economic assumptions and projections that were made when the Mitsui and Hanjin deals were signed are no longer valid. As a result, the economic benefits to our local economy that are often cited may not be realistic.
Before we go ahead and accept the Port expansion as our economic salvation, we must honestly evaluate all of the tradeoffs and assess the pros and cons to our community,environment, and economy.